Home / FOOTBALL / Betting Breakdown Of College Football Top 25 Matchups Including Notre Dame at Georgia – Forbes

Betting Breakdown Of College Football Top 25 Matchups Including Notre Dame at Georgia – Forbes

The marquee match-ups of Week 4 in college football includes a top 10 showdown between No. 7 Notre Dame and No. 3 Georgia in Athens. The Bulldogs are a 14-point home favorite, and the prime time Saturday night slot on ABC is sure to make it the most watched game of the day. It may be the most bet game of the college football weekend as well, and nearly 63% of the bets are supporting Georgia according to Sports Insights, which tracks live betting odds and activity from seven leading online sportsbooks. At FanDuel Sportsbooks, Georgia is attracting 60% of the spread bets, and the line has inched up to -14.5.

But the big game betting starts earlier in the day when a pair of AP Top 25 match-ups settle the score in conference showdowns. No. 11 Michigan visits Camp Randall Stadium in Madison where No. 14 Wisconsin is a 3.5-point favorite. That 12:00 ET kickoff on FOX is followed by No. 8 Auburn at No. 17 Texas A&M (-3.5). Kickoff for that SEC showdown is at 3:30 ET and can be seen on CBS if you’re not one of the more than 100,000 fortunate fans that will be at Kyle Field to witness the Aggies and Tigers takeover in College Station.

No. 11 Michigan at No. 14 Wisconsin

Michigan’s less than impressive 2-0 start has seen the offense struggle under its new offensive coordinator. The Wolverines narrow 24-21 overtime win against Army has bettors concerned, and the penalties, fumbles and dropped passes have plagued Michigan to start the season. Much more impressive is Wisconsin’s 2-0 start in which the Badgers out-scored two opponents 110-0. The current line is Wisconsin -3.5, but over the summer Las Vegas bookmakers made Michigan a 5-point favorite. While adjustments in power ratings and performance are ongoing throughout the season, Michigan’s defensive strength and ability to slow Badgers All-American RB Jonathan Taylor will be key. The Badgers seek some redemption following their worst loss last season under 5th year head coach Paul Chryst when Wisconsin had a season-low 283 yards offense in a 38-13 defeat at Michigan.

Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh knows the game is won up front along the lines in a match-up like this. He’s prepared his team and some of the players say the offense is ‘real close’ to bigger production and ready for the challenge on the road to open Big Ten play.

“Challenge of this game is big,” Harbaugh told media at this week’s press conference. “Camp Randall is a tough venue – that’s a tough one to get.”

Harbaugh is not a coach who cares or believes in betting on the college games. When asked about being an underdog in this contest at Wisconsin, Harbaugh gave a short answer. “It’s irrelevant.”

That’s not the case for bettors, who are mostly backing the Badgers.

There is all sorts of betting on the Big Ten battle, and not just at the sportsbooks or on mobile apps.

No. 8 Auburn at No. 17 Texas A&M

Texas A&M is 2-1, but the loss was at No. 1 Clemson 24-10. The Aggies offense struggled and scored a touchdown on a late drive to cover the point spread. But less than 300 yards offense won’t get it done Saturday. Expect more, as QB Kellen Mond and the Aggies offense are much more productive and efficient at home where they nearly upset No. 2 Clemson last season 28-26 while gaining 501 yards offense. Key will be for the Aggies to slow the Auburn running game, which they did last year holding the Tigers to just 21 rushing yards. But A&M blew a 24-14 fourth quarter lead and lost 28-24 despite out-gaining Auburn 423-278. That sets up some serious redemption and the Aggies have the talent, skill and quality coaching of Jimbo Fisher to get payback. Texas A&M is 7-1 ATS as a home favorite under Fisher.

Auburn rallied for an improbable 27-21 win over Oregon to open the season, and are now 3-0 after taking down Tulane 24-6 in another fortunate point spread cover before smashing Kent State last week 55-16. But feeling is that once A&M slows the Auburn ground game, the Aggies defense will force true freshman QB Bo Nix into mistakes and less passing production. Nix struggled through three quarters against a strong Oregon defense. Now he makes his first true road start with more than 100,000 fans at Kyle Field making it a most unpleasant experience.

No. 7 Notre Dame at No. 3 Georgia

In the prime time Saturday night slot, Notre Dame travels to Athens to try and take down perhaps the most impressive team in the country this season in Georgia. It won’t happen. CBS Sports lead college football analyst Gary Danielson is high on the Bulldogs.

“I really don’t think so,” when asked if Georgia has any weaknesses. “Watching them on tape, they are extremely talented. They’ve been a machine.”

Along with an abundance of draftable talent to watch in Georgia’s secondary, Pro Football Focus college grading notes the match-ups to watch along the lines. Georgia left tackle Andrew Thomas is currently the highest-graded tackle in the country and won’t face a better edge duo all season than Notre Dame’s Khalid Kareem and Julian Okwara.

The buildup and anticipation for this game is enormous. The historic downtown district will be rocking before more than 90,000 fans storm Sanford Stadium in what is sure to be an electric atmosphere. The temptation might be to support a highly-ranked underdog taking back more than two touchdowns. But Georgia is the stronger team and the it’s not just the dominant stats that bear it out. Head coach Kirby Smart has built a program with great speed and depth in his fourth year. The Bulldogs are a beast with so much talent on both sides of the ball and the much stronger defense. Veteran QB Jake Fromm will make plenty of plays in the passing game, but its the ‘Dawgs ground game led by D’Andre Swift that will make it’s mark against a Notre Dame defensive front that gives up more than 50 pounds per man to the Georgia offensive line.

Notre Dame allowed both Louisville and New Mexico to rush for more than 210 yards. Georgia is averaging more than 275 yards per game both rushing and passing while outscoring its first three opponents by an average of 49-8. A 5.7 net yards per rush differential is a key indicator favoring Georgia, and when you tune into this top 10 showdown, you may be watching this year’s national champion come January.

You can bet on it.

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