India are facing an uphill task as they have been set a target of 338 in 50 overs by hosts England in their ICC Cricket World Cup 2019 meeting at Edgbaston in Birmingham on Sunday.
All eyes are on this crunch encounter as the result of Match 38 of the World Cup 2019 will have an effect on the semi-final chances of quite a few teams, including India’s Asian neighbours Pakistan.
India had been unbeaten in World Cup 2019 and headed into the match in Birmingham as firm favouites against England who are in danger of facing an early exit from the tournament after back-to-back defeats to Sri Lanka and Australia.
However, England came out with a lot of positive intent, boosted by the return of their big-hitting opener Jason Roy. Roy and Jonny Bairstow gave England a flying start after Eoin Morgan won the toss and opted to bat on a flat surface at Edgaston.
Roy and Bairstow took the Indian attack, especially their spinners to the cleaners and added 160 runs for the opening stand. Roy missed out on a hundred but Bairstow got to the 3-figure mark — his first in World Cups. India though pulled things back with a fine 2nd spell from Mohammed Shami wherein he removed Bairstow and Eoin Morgan in quick succession.
Shami finished with figures of 5 for 69 and Jasprit Bumrah 1 for 44 after a top-class spell of death bowling to make sure England didn’t post a total in excess of 350.
What happens if India lose to England in Birmingham on Sunday
Matches to play: Bangladesh on July 2, Sri Lanka on July 6
India’s chances of making the semi-finals will still remain bright. India are likely to stay at the 2nd spot with 11 points from 7 matches if they don’t lose by a big margin. Virat Kohli’s men just need to win one more from their next 2 matches to qualify. However, if India lose all 3 matches, then they have to depend on net run rate to seal their progress.
Matches to play: New Zealand on July 3
England will receive a huge boost as they will be only 1 win away from making the last-four stage of World Cup 2019. England would return into the top-four with 10 points from 8 matches and push Pakistan to the 5th spot. And if England beat New Zealand in their final match, they will seal their progress.
New Zealand’s chances
Matches to play: England on July 3
New Zealand will qualify for the semi-finals if India beat England on Sunday. However, if they lose, the Black Caps face a must-win situation in their final group-stage against England match on July 3.
New Zealand, who are sitting 3rd with 11 points from 8 matches, can get knocked out if they lose to England by a big margin on Wednesday.
Matches to play: Bangladesh on June 5
Pakistan fans were backing India to beat England as their chances get a massive boost if their arch-rivlas collect 2 points on Sunday.
However, if England beat India then Pakistan will not only have to beat Bangladesh in their final group-stage match on July 5 but also hope England lose to New Zealand on July 3. Pakistan can get knocked out if England beat New Zealand.
However, if Pakistan can beat Bangladesh by a big margin and England beat New Zealand by a huge margin, then Pakistan can pip the Black Caps into the semi-final.
Sri Lanka’s chances
Matches to play: West Indies on July 1, India on July 6
Sri Lanka will be the worst affected by an Indian loss on Sunday. The Islanders are on 6 points with as many matches and they need nothing less than a win in their last 2 matches to stay alive. However, England’s win on Sunday will make their qualification chances slimmer.
England will go up to 10 points with a win on Sunday and the maximum Sri Lanka, who have the worst net run rate among the teams in the semi-final race, can get to is 10 points.
Matches to play: India on July 2, Pakistan on July 5
Bangladesh need to beat Pakistan and India to keep their semi-final chances alive. England’s win on Sunday makes their chances difficult as England can get to a maximum of 12 points. Even if Bangladesh win their next 2 matches, it might not be enough for them with England having a point more than them.
World Cup 2019: What happens to semi-final race if India lose to England today – India Today